Punjab, Haryana, and Kerala seem to have crossed the peak in coronavirus cases, a prominent public health specialist said who expects that India will keep coronavirus deaths at less than 8,000 in the country with the strict enforcement of standard protocols and hospitals on high alert.
As per the report, India should not be seen as one entity when it comes to fighting coronavirus as the population size across the states and districts varies, said Professor GVS Murthy, Director of Indian Institute of Public Health, Hyderabad.
He also stated that the health systems vary and level of literacy varies across and within states. Therefore, it will be appropriate to talk about the state-level and district-level peaks, he said.
As against the total cases per million population which increased in India from 17.6 cases per million on April 25 to 99.9 per million on May 25, in Maharashtra it increased from 61.9 per million in April to 383 per million on May 25, Professor Murthy noted.
In Tamil Nadu, the total cases per million population increased from 23.4 per million on April 25 to 199.3 per million on May 25, and in Gujarat from 48.1 per million in April to 219 per million on May 25. Delhi has shown the steepest hike in the country from 140 per million on April 25 to 690 per million on May 25.
Prof Murthy told PTI in an interview said that “Maharashtra, Tamil Nadu, Gujarat, and Delhi seem to be nearing the peak while those like Kerala, Punjab, and Haryana seem to have crossed the peak.” He also noted that since Maharashtra, Tamil Nadu, Gujarat, Delhi, Rajasthan, and Madhya Pradesh contribute 70 percent cases in the country, unless these states peak, the country peak cannot be reached.