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IMD forecasts above-normal monsoon for India this year

As per the Meteorological Department, El Nino conditions are expected to weaken during the early monsoon period. The emergence of weak La Nina conditions is anticipated, which is likely to aid the monsoon.

Written by  Annesha Barua -- April 15th 2024 03:21 PM
IMD forecasts above-normal monsoon for India this year

IMD forecasts above-normal monsoon for India this year

PTC News Desk: The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has forecasted an 'above normal' monsoon for India this year, with the cumulative rainfall expected to reach 106 per cent of the long-period average of 87 cm.

This prediction comes as El Nino conditions are anticipated to weaken during the early monsoon period, with the onset of weak La Nina conditions expected to support the monsoon.

Analysis conducted by the IMD indicates that in 22 La Nina years, the majority have experienced above-normal or normal monsoon, except for 1974 and 2000, when below-normal rainfall was recorded. M Ravichanran, Secretary of the Ministry of Earth Sciences, noted during a briefing that new long-period average and normal values have been introduced based on rainfall data from 1971 to 2020.

According to this new normal, the average total rainfall across the country from June 1 to September 30 is projected to be 87 cm. The IMD highlighted that below-normal snow cover over the northern hemisphere this spring is inversely correlated with southwest monsoon rainfall, indicating a likelihood of above-normal rainfall for India.

This assertion underscores the intricate relationship between global weather patterns and the Indian monsoon, suggesting favourable conditions for increased precipitation across the country.

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- With inputs from agencies

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