The second wave of coronavirus in India is expected to decline by July this year while a third wave of the pandemic is expected in about six to eight months.
These are just projections made by the three-member panel of scientists constituted by the Department of Science and Technology under the Science Ministry of the Government of India.
The scientists have used the SUTRA (Susceptible, Undetected, Tested (positive) and Removed Approach) model to predict that the end of May will see about 1.5 lakh cases per day and the end of June will witness 20,000 cases on a daily basis. It also predicted that the third wave of coronavirus is likely to be seen after 6-8 months.
As of now, the states like Maharashtra, Uttar Pradesh, Karnataka, Madhya Pradesh, Jharkhand, Rajasthan, Kerala, Sikkim, Uttarakhand, Gujarat, Haryana besides Delhi and Goa have already witnessed their peak, said a member of the panel Professor Manindra Agarwal from IIT Kanpur.
The model suggested that Tamil Nadu will witness its peak between May 29 and 31 while Puducherry may see its peak on May 19-20.
Meanwhile, the states in East and Northeast India are yet to witness their peaks. Assam is likely to see its peak by May 20-21 while Meghalaya could peak on May 30 and Tripura is likely to peak by May 26-27.
In North India, Himachal Pradesh and Punjab are witnessing a spike in cases while Himachal Pradesh may see a peak in cases by May 24 and Punjab by May 22.
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